Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000722 0.000825 0.000934 0.001058 0.001195 0.001340 0.001506
2025-04-06 0.000555 0.000696 0.000856 0.001049 0.001276 0.001530 0.001837
2025-04-13 0.000458 0.000613 0.000797 0.001029 0.001311 0.001640 0.002049
2025-04-20 0.000404 0.000572 0.000780 0.001052 0.001393 0.001802 0.002323
2025-04-27 0.000360 0.000536 0.000762 0.001067 0.001460 0.001942 0.002571
2025-05-04 0.000313 0.000490 0.000727 0.001055 0.001489 0.002034 0.002758
2025-05-11 0.000271 0.000447 0.000689 0.001035 0.001504 0.002105 0.002918
2025-05-18 0.000247 0.000425 0.000678 0.001049 0.001562 0.002231 0.003149
2025-05-25 0.000222 0.000401 0.000661 0.001051 0.001603 0.002334 0.003352
2025-06-01 0.000192 0.000363 0.000621 0.001019 0.001594 0.002369 0.003464
2025-06-08 0.000166 0.000330 0.000586 0.000990 0.001585 0.002402 0.003573
2025-06-15 0.000150 0.000311 0.000569 0.000987 0.001614 0.002486 0.003751
2025-06-22 0.000135 0.000293 0.000554 0.000986 0.001646 0.002576 0.003942
2025-06-29 0.000120 0.000273 0.000534 0.000976 0.001663 0.002646 0.004107
2025-07-06 0.000105 0.000252 0.000510 0.000958 0.001666 0.002694 0.004240
2025-07-13 0.000099 0.000246 0.000511 0.000979 0.001731 0.002832 0.004503
2025-07-20 0.000092 0.000238 0.000508 0.000993 0.001783 0.002954 0.004744
2025-07-27 0.000082 0.000222 0.000490 0.000982 0.001795 0.003015 0.004899
2025-08-03 0.000072 0.000206 0.000469 0.000963 0.001794 0.003056 0.005026
2025-08-10 0.000067 0.000199 0.000467 0.000976 0.001844 0.003175 0.005267
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000190 0.000458 0.000979 0.001876 0.003267 0.005471
2025-08-24 0.000052 0.000173 0.000433 0.000948 0.001853 0.003274 0.005547
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000158 0.000409 0.000920 0.001832 0.003282 0.005624